Humbling Moment: Modi Prepares for a Third Term with Reduced Mandate
New Delhi, India – As Prime Minister Narendra Modi gears up for his third term in office, the political landscape of India seems poised for a significant shift. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which previously enjoyed a commanding majority, has been reduced to 240 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha. This unexpected result has forced the BJP to rely on its allies within the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to form the next government.
A Shift in Power Dynamics
Vishal Paliwal, a long-time BJP supporter and granite stone trader from Rajasthan, reflects a growing sentiment among voters. Disillusioned by economic hardships and the government’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, many like Paliwal chose not to vote for the BJP or its opposition. “People have chosen an opposition, not a government, by voting this time,” said Paliwal, emphasizing a desire for checks and balances in governance.
Coalition Politics
The BJP’s reliance on regional allies such as the Telugu Desam Party (TDP) and the Janata Dal (United) [JD(U)] will shape the new government. These allies, known for their secular stance, are expected to demand significant roles in the cabinet and influence policy decisions, potentially moderating the BJP’s previous unilateral approach.
BJP’s Response
Despite the reduced mandate, BJP spokesperson Zafar Islam remains optimistic, stating, “Everyone in NDA has faith in the leadership of PM Modi. There is no disconnect between our partners at all.” However, analysts and rights activists argue that the coalition dynamics will inherently check Modi’s authority, preventing any dictatorial tendencies.
Voices of Dissent
Afreen Fatima, a Muslim activist from Uttar Pradesh, highlights the discontent among minorities. The BJP’s campaign tactics, marked by anti-Muslim rhetoric, have deepened social divides. Fatima, whose family faced direct state action, views the election results as a potential curb on the BJP’s arrogance. However, she remains cautious, noting the persistence of hate and the lack of significant Muslim representation in the new parliament.
Broader Implications
Rights activist Harsh Mander believes that the reduced mandate signifies a demand for greater accountability and democracy. However, the path ahead is fraught with challenges. “This election has created space [for Modi critics] but it will not resolve the core crisis of hate in Indian society,” he said.
International Perspective
Internationally, Modi’s third term presents a complex scenario for countries like the US, which value India as a strategic partner against China but are wary of its drift towards illiberalism. Michael Kugelman of the Wilson Center’s South Asia Institute notes, “Modi will no longer be seen as invincible, and the opposition will no longer be dead in the water.”
Conclusion
As Modi prepares to take the oath for his third term, India stands at a crossroads. The reduced majority in parliament is a humbling moment for the BJP, compelling it to navigate coalition politics and address the diverse demands of its allies. While Modi’s leadership continues, the dynamics of his governance are set to change, potentially ushering in a more balanced and accountable administration.